The increase in US federal debt as a percentage of GDP and in absolute terms is unprecedented and could therefore be a major risk for long term investors.

In this article we will see how the US federal debt has developed as a percentage of GDP for the last two centuries. We will point out why the growth is unprecedented even when the debt percentage has been higher in the past.

The next article following this one is about what is ahead for the US Dollar.

This chart for the EUR/USD exchange rate and trend shows a 20 year history. Since the Euro exists only for about 10 years we had to make some calculations. You will see later below. 20 years provides a unique historic perspective.

Trends in currency exchange rates are important for investors who invest outside their home currency zone. A foreign stock market index could move up but the currency for that market could devalue compared to your home currency. In that case, your gains measured in your home currency would reduce or could even turn negative.

The discovery of the Stock Trend Investing approach took more than a decade. We suggest to sign up for our free newsletter. As a welcome gift you will receive our eBook that tells the journey behind and the discovery of the Stock Trend Investing approach.

The Stock Trend Investing Toolbox is a set of links and references for investors that is continuously updated and expanded.

Feel free to contact us with suggestions for tools and links that we could include in our list here.

Guide on Trend Signals

• Read the free online Guide on Trend Investing and Long-term Market Timing Signals.