The Month-end Trend Signal (MTS) is calculated after the closing of each month. It is based on the pattern in the month-end closing price of a stock market index during the last 6 months.

For each market index, the MTS shows you every month one out of five different statuses:

1. Up: The Initial Trend Expectation is “Up”
    
2. Up + Warning: The Initial Trend Expectation is “Up” but there is a warning for a possible correction or for an abrupt turning point in the trend. The reason for the warning is that the index has increased tremendously during the last 3 to 6 months.
    
3. Down: The Initial Trend Expectation is “Down”
    
4. Unclear: The latest month-end closing price does not indicate a clear trend “Up” or “Down”. The Initial Trend Expectation remains the same as the most recent “Up” or “Down” signal.
    
5. Unclear + Warning: The latest month-end closing price does not indicate a clear trend “Up” or “Down”. The Initial Trend Expectation remains the same as the most recent “Up” or “Down” signal. There is also a warning for a possible correction down. The reason for the warning is that the index has increased tremendously during the last 3 to 6 months.

MTS is a custom-developed signal. You can find this signal only at the Stock Trend Investing website and service.

For the US and Europe, we do not act upon a standalone Initial Trend Expectation for a single index. For the US and the major European markets, we calculate an overall Trend Expectation.

See here the latest Month-end Trend Signal data chart for the S&P 500.